|
[ Home ] [ Member's
Log-in ] [ Guaranteed Picks ]
[ Free Picks ] [ Testimonials
] [ Our Record ] [ About
Us ]
[ Tell a Friend ] [ Sports
Betting 101 ] [ NFL Weather ] [ College
Weather ] [ NFL
Breaking News ] [ College
Breaking News ] [ NFL home city
newspaper links ] [ NFL Stats ] [ College
Stats ] [ Common Gambling
Terms ] [ Latest
Odds ] [ Contact us ]
Welcome to the Football Forecastor, home to Jim "Dirtydog"
Campbell, who is considered one of the nations most prolific sports
handicappers, we specialize in NFL and College Football handicapping
and take sports betting to a whole new level by treating sports
wagering as an investment...take a ride with us on the "Money
Train" today!!
 Football
Forecastor
2009 AFC South preview
By Jim Campbell of www.footballforecastor.com
TENNESSEE :
John Q. and Susie Q. Public might think last season was a fluke for
these Titans, mainly because he/she simply doesn’t remember just
how good this team was from 1999 to 2003, during this five year
stretch Tennessee posted a combined record of 56-24, won two
divisional titles, made four playoff appearances including trips to
two AFC Championship games and came up one yard short of forcing the
first overtime in Super Bowl history as they fell to the Rams by the
final of 23-16.
The Titans then fell on hard times during the 2004
and 2005 seasons in posting straight up records of 5-11 and 4-12,
mainly because they simply had grown too long in the tooth and had
to replace aged talent. Head Coach Jeff Fisher, who is one of the
best coaches in the NFL, used the draft along with smart free agent
signings to restock and retool his team, the decisions he made
resulted in regular season records of 8-8 in 2006, 10-6 in 2007 and
13-3 in 2008. Don’t lose sight of the fact that the Titans
resurgence was a steady one, meaning that they did things the right
way and are definitely NOT a fly-by-night team that had a lucky
season in 2008.
The Colts will definitely push Tennessee this year
as will Houston and Jacksonville who figure to be much improved due
to excellent drafts, however, with Colt HC Tony Dungy retiring the
Titans have the best HC in this division along with the best defense
and the best rushing attack which are the three most important
ingredients to winning a divisional title. Projected record
10-6.
***Look to play ON Tennessee in week two when
Houston comes to town, some teams simply own other teams and such is
the case between the Titans and Texans as Tennessee has posted a
mark of 7-1 straight up and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against
Houston overall and are 4-1 straight up and ATS in their last 5 home
games against the Texans.
INDIANAPOLIS :
A new era begins in Colt-land as HC Tony Dungy, offensive
coordinator Tom Moore, and offensive line coach Howard Mudd have all
officially hung up their spurs and retired, their replacements are
HC Jim Caldwell, offensive coordinator Clyde Christensen, and
offensive line coach Pete Metzelaars. As a side note Tom Moore
agreed to stay on as a consultant, however, all three replacements
were already on the Colt coaching staff and were simply promoted
into the new positions, Indianapolis also has a new defensive
coordinator in Larry Coyer and a new special teams coach in Ray
Rychleski. Although the Colts still have Peyton Manning leading a
great offense me thinks this is wayyyy too much change for a team to
digest and still win a divisional title over such a well coached
team as the Titans. Projected record 10-6.
***Look to play AGAINST Indianapolis on
October 11th when they travel to Tennessee, the Colts
will be playing their third road game in a four game span including
a MNF game in the deep south at Miami and a trip out west to
Arizona. A peek into the ole history book reveals that the Titans
have covered 5 of their last 6 games overall against the Colts and
are a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three home games against
visiting Indy.
HOUSTON :
This is a Texan team that appears finally poised for a break-out
type of season in 2009, unfortunately for them they reside in the
same division as Tennessee, Indianapolis and a not so bad
Jacksonville team, hence the reason that Houston is a shoddy 6-12
straight up in their last 18 divisional contests. The Texans enter
the 2009 season having posted back to back straight up marks of 8-8
in 2008 and 2007 and now appear ready for their first winning season
since 2003.
Head coach Gary Kubiak is entering his fourth season
as the skipper of the Texans and each season his team has improved
statistically, most might not realize it but last season this Texan
offense finished 4th in the NFL in total passing yards, 3rd
in total yards per game, 9th in yards per rush, and 4th
in yards per pass, these are pretty darn good numbers considering
some of the other QB’s and offense’s in the NFL. The Texans
major malfunction is on defense where they finished 27th
in yards per pass allowed, 25th in yards per rush
allowed, and 27th in points allowed.
To correct their problems on defense Houston drafted
LB Brian Cushing out of USC with their first overall pick and DE
Barwin Conner out of Cincinnati with their second overall pick, they
also added DE Antonio Smith, DT Shaun Cody and LB Cato June via free
agency. The Texans are still a couple of seasons away from seriously
contending for a divisional crown, however, they continue to make
excellent strides towards that goal. Projected record 9-7.
***Look to play AGAINST Houston when they
travel to Buffalo on November 1st, the Texans will be
playing their second straight road game and will also be playing
their third road game in a four week span with a trip to divisional
rival Indy on deck, meaning that Houston could very well get caught
looking ahead to their first seasonal meeting against the Colts. As
a side note and as of this writing, Houston has failed to cover 5 of
their last 6 games ATS when playing the first of back to back road
games and a peek into the old history book reveals that Houston is a
perfect 0-5 ATS in their last five contests against teams from the
AFC East.
JACKSONVILLE :
This Jag team was expected to do great things last season after
falling one win short of making it to the AFC Championship game the
previous year, however, cluster injuries along the offensive line
hurt them badly from almost day one as the Jags lost BOTH starting
offensive guards in week one against the Titans, this loss
essentially took away their power running game as evidenced by
finishing the season ranked 18th in the NFL in rushing
yards after attaining the #2 ranking the previous season. In terms
of total offense the Jags fell to 20th in the league last
year after having the 7th most potent attack in 2007.
After posting a combined record of 32-19 straight up
and 30-20-1 ATS in the three seasons prior to last years’ stunning
5-11 straight up and 4-12 ATS fall from grace, the natural
assumption would be that a healthy Jag team could climb back to
where they were with regard to contending for the divisional crown,
however, Tennessee and Houston will have something to say about
that. Look for the AFC South to be a hotly contested race to the
crown, however, in the end it will be these Jags fighting it out
with Houston for the third place spot. Projected record 9-7.
***Look to play AGAINST Jacksonville when
they travel to face divisional rival Houston on September 27th,
the Jags have failed to cover 6 of their last 8 meetings ATS versus
the Texans overall and are a perfect 0-3 straight up and ATS in
their last three visits to Houston.
Our
extraordinary record is based on our outstanding "Late
Week" selections which have averaged a 57.88%
winning rate over the past 12 years and that also includes our NFL
"Best Bets"
which have achieved a winning rate of 63.05%
over the past 10 years!!
By releasing these key selections later in the week and
closer to game time we are able to take advantage of the latest
information available which includes the latest weather and injury
reports as well as any "Line Movements"
that have taken place.
****All Executive
Seasonal Package subscribers will receive Special
Access to a Password
Protected area where you may view the current weekly
NFL and/or College selections from ANY
internet connected computer.
****All PAST
Seasonal package subscribers receive the very same low rates year
after year.
Get on our mailing list to receive "Free
Plays" and thought analysis on the upcoming
season by the Football Forecastor......Join a Proven
Winner and start winning today.
|
